Supervisors Symposium - December 2023
Supervisor s Symposiu m
December 4 - 7, 2023 Le Meridien Hotel – New Orleans, LA
@ www.csbs.org ♦ @csbsnews
CONFERENCE OF STATE BANK SUPERVISORS 1300 I Street NW / Suite 700 / Washington, DC 20005 / (202) 296-2840
CSBS Board Mee Ɵ ngs & Supervisors Symposium December 4-7, 2023 | All Ɵ mes in Central Time Zone New Orleans, LA
Monday, December 4
Breakfast | Uptown 123
8:00 AM – 10:00 AM
Bankers Advisory Board Meeting | Esplanade Ballroom 1
10:00 AM – 4:00 PM
Lunch | Uptown 123
12:00 PM – 1:00 PM
SRR Board of Managers Meeting | Esplanade Ballroom 2
2:00 PM – 5:00 PM
Small Group Dinners
6:00 PM – 8:00 PM
Tuesday, December 5 8:00 AM – 9:00 AM
Breakfast | Uptown 123
MMC Annual Meeting | Marigny 2
9:00 AM – 5:00 PM
CSBS Board of Directors Meeting | Esplanade Ballroom
9:00 AM – 5:00 PM
Break
10:30 AM – 10:45 AM
Lunch | Uptown 123
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM
Break
2:30 PM – 2:45 PM
Off ‐ Site Reception | House of Blues 225 Decatur Street, New Orleans, LA 70130
6:00 PM – 8:00 PM
Wednesday, December 6
Breakfast | Uptown 123
8:00 AM – 9:00 AM
2023 Supervisors Symposium | Esplanade Ballroom
9:00 AM – 3:30 PM
Opening Remarks Sebas Ɵ en Monnet Vice President, Learning and Development Conference of State Bank Supervisors
9:00 AM – 9:05 AM
Welcome to Louisiana Sco Ʃ Jolly
9:05 AM – 9:15 AM
Commissioner Louisiana O ffi ce of Financial Ins Ɵ tu Ɵ ons
Current State and Outlook for Community and Regional Banks Donald Musso President & CEO FinPro
9:15 AM – 10:15 AM
Break
10:15 AM – 10:30 AM
Dialogue with FinCEN Jimmy Kirby Ac Ɵ ng Deputy Director Financial Crimes Enforcement Network
10:30 AM – 11:15 AM
Break
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM
Dialogue with FDIC Doreen Eberley Director, Division of Risk Management Supervision Federal Deposit Insurance Corpora Ɵ on Committee and Working Group Lunches Supervisors Symposium Lunch | Uptown 123 Legislative Committee Lunch | Marigny 2 State Supervisory Processes Committee Lunch | Marigny 1 Regulatory Committee Lunch | Bywater 2 Non ‐ Depository Supervisory Committee | Salon 1 Communica Ɵ on & Branding Strategies for State Agencies Charlie Clark Director Washington Department of Financial Ins Ɵ tu Ɵ ons Rhoshunda Kelly Commissioner Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance
11:30 AM – 12:30 PM
12:30 PM – 2:00 PM
2:00 PM – 3:00 PM
Kelly Lammers Director Nebraska Department of Banking and Finance Laura Fisher (moderator) Senior Vice President, Communica Ɵ ons Conference of State Bank Supervisors
Networking Break
3:00 PM – 3:30 PM
Mul Ɵ state Exams: The Landscape, Supervisory Highlights, and Current Ini Ɵ a Ɵ ves of the MMC And MMET Kris Ɵ n Rice
3:30 PM – 4:30 PM
MMC Chair & Deputy Commissioner for Legal A ff airs North Carolina O ffi ce of the Commissioner of Banks Rick St. Onge MMET Member & Program Manager/Examina Ɵ ons Chief Washington Department of Financial Ins Ɵ tu Ɵ ons Anya Tabb MMC Immediate Past Chair & Financial Examiner Supervisor Washington Department of Financial Ins Ɵ tu Ɵ ons Ingrid White MTRA President, MMET Member, Deputy Superintendent Ohio Division of Financial Ins Ɵ tu Ɵ ons Tony Vasile (moderator) Vice President, Non ‐ Bank Supervision and Enforcement Conference of State Bank Supervisors
Networking Recep Ɵ on | LMNO (Lobby Level)
5:30 PM – 7:30 PM
Thursday, December 7
Breakfast | Uptown 123
8:00 AM – 9:00 AM
2023 Supervisors Symposium | Esplanade Ballroom
9:00 AM – 3:00 PM
Looking Ahead – Forces Shaping Banking Lee Wetherington Senior Director, Corporate Strategy Jack Henry & Associates
9:00 AM – 10:15 AM
Break
10:15 AM – 10:30 AM
Bank Resolu Ɵ on Refresher Varanessa Marshall Assistant Director, Monitoring & Risk Analysis – Division of Resolu Ɵ ons & Partnerships Federal Deposit Insurance Corpora Ɵ on
10:30 AM – 11:30 AM
District Lunches and Conversa Ɵ ons
11:30 AM – 1:30 PM
District 1 | Uptown 2 District 2 | Marigny 1 District 3 | Uptown 3 District 4 | Uptown 4 District 5 | Marigny 2
Dialogue with the Federal Reserve Jennifer Burns Deputy Director, Division of Supervision and Regula Ɵ on Federal Reserve Board of Governors
1:30 PM – 2:30 PM
Year in Review & Looking Ahead to 2024 Jim Cooper President & CEO Conference of State Bank Supervisors
2:30 PM – 3:00 PM
Internal Use Only #
CSBS Supervisors Symposium New Orleans, LA
December 6-7, 2023
ATTENDEES Alabama State Banking Department Carver, Jay
jay.caver@banking.alabama.gov mike.hill@banking.alabama.gov John.Russell@banking.alabama.gov
Hill, Mike
Russell, John
Alaska Division of Banking and Securities Schmidt, Robert
rob.schmidt@alaska.gov
Arizona Department of Insurance and Financial Institutions Ousounov, Deian
deian.ousounov@difi.az.gov
Arkansas State Bank Department Ahlen, John
jahlen@banking.state.ar.us smarshall@banking.state.ar.us dpatel@banking.state.ar.us jpowell@banking.state.ar.us jwallace@banking.state.ar.us
Marshall, Susannah
Patel, Dharmin Powell, Jacklyn Wallace, Jessica
California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation Hewlett, Cloey
Cloey.Hewlett@dfpi.ca.gov
Connecticut Department of Banking Chambers, Joseph
joseph.chambers@ct.gov
Perez, Jorge
jorge.perez@ct.gov
Delaware Office of the State Bank Commissioner Collison, Lisa
Lisa.Collison@delaware.gov christopherL.Hall@delaware.gov
Hall, Christopher
District of Columbia Department of Insurance, Securities and Banking Fuller, Samuel
samuel.fuller@dc.gov
Florida Office of Financial Regulation Smith, Jeremy
Jeremy.Smith@flofr.gov
Georgia Department of Banking and Finance Fears, Oscar
bfears@dbf.state.ga.us khagler@dbf.state.ga.us msneed@dbf.state.ga.us
Hagler, Kevin Sneed, Melissa
Hawaii Division of Financial Institutions Hirai, Mark
mhirai@dcca.hawaii.gov
Internal Use Only #
Ikeda, Iris
iikeda@dcca.hawaii.gov
Idaho Department of Finance Polidori, Anthony
anthony.polidori@finance.idaho.gov
Indiana Department of Financial Institutions Dietz, Christopher
cdietz@Dfi.in.gov tfite@dfi.IN.gov
Fite, Thomas
Iowa Division of Banking Plagge, Jeff
jeff.plagge@idob.state.ia.us shauna.shields@idob.state.ia.us
Shields, Shauna
Kansas Office of the State Bank Commissioner Herndon, David
David.Herndon@osbckansas.org Tim.Kemp@osbckansas.org
Kemp, Tim
Louisiana Office of Financial Institutions Finley, Jonathan
jfinley@ofi.la.gov
Jeansonne, Michelle
mjeansonne@ofi.la.gov pjolly@ofi.la.gov ckirkland@ofi.la.gov
Jolly, P. Scott
Kirkland, Christine
Maine Bureau of Financial Institutions LaFountain, Lloyd Maryland Office of Financial Regulation Salazar, Tony
lloyd.p.lafountain.iii@maine.gov
tony.salazar@maryland.gov
Massachusetts Division of Banks Begin, Cindy
cindy.begin@mass.gov kevin.cuff@mass.gov mary.l.gallagher@mass.gov
Cuff, Kevin
Gallagher, Mary
Michigan Department of Insurance and Financial Services Luetzow, Aaron
LuetzowA@michigan.gov
Minnesota Department of Commerce Crow, Michael
michael.crow@state.mn.us mark.hastie@state.mn.us jacqueline.olson@state.mn.us William.thompson@state.mn.us
Hastie, Mark
Olson, Jacqueline Thompson, William
Mississippi Department of Banking & Consumer Finance Hubbard, Sam
sam.hubbard@dbcf.ms.gov rhoshunda.kelly@dbcf.ms.gov
Kelly, Rhoshunda
Internal Use Only #
Montana Division of Banking and Financial Institutions Hall, Melanie
mghall@mt.gov
Nebraska Department of Banking and Finance Bailar, Darcy
darcy.bailar@nebraska.gov kelly.lammers@nebraska.gov
Lammers, Kelly
North Carolina Office of Commissioner of Banks Bosken, Katherine
kbosken@nccob.gov krice@nccob.gov sryals@nccob.gov
Rice, Kristin
White, Stephanie
North Dakota Department of Financial Institutions Kruse, Lise
lkruse@nd.gov
Ohio Division of Financial Institutions Allard, Kevin
kevin.allard@com.ohio.gov
Prude-Smithers, Pamela
pamela.prude-smithers@com.ohio.gov
White, Ingrid
ingrid.white@com.ohio.gov
Oregon Division of Financial Regulation Anderson, Kirsten
kirsten.l.anderson@dcbs.oregon.gov
Keen, TK
tk.keen@dcbs.oregon.gov
South Dakota Division of Banking Afdahl, Bret
Bret.Afdahl@state.sd.us
Texas Department of Banking Cooper, Charles
charles.cooper@dob.texas.gov
Texas Department of Savings & Mortgage Lending Retta, Hector
hretta@sml.texas.gov
Utah Department of Financial Institutions Berrett, Shaun
shaunberrett@utah.gov
Rude, Darryle
drude@utah.gov
Vermont Department of Financial Regulation Ferenc, Aaron Washington Department of Financial Institutions Clark, Charlie
aaron.ferenc@vermont.gov
charles.clark@dfi.wa.gov
Hollinshead, Roberta
roberta.hollinshead@dfi.wa.gov rick.st.onge@dfi.wa.gov anya.tabb@dfi.wa.gov shannon.tushar@dfi.wa.gov
St. Onge, Rick Tabb, Anya Tushar, Shannon
Internal Use Only #
West Virginia Division of Financial Institutions Holstein, Dawn Wisconsin Department of Financial Institutions Swissdorf, Kim
dholstein@wvdob.org
kim.swissdorf@dfi.wisconsin.gov
Wyoming Division of Banking Bishop, Jeremiah
jeremiah.bishop@wyo.gov tyson.floyd@wyo.gov yvonne.shafer-shaw@wyo.gov
Floyd, Tyson
Shafer-Shaw, Yvonne
SPEAKERS Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Eberley, Doreen
deberley@fdic.gov vamarshall@fdic.gov
Marshall, Varanessa
Federal Reserve Board of Governors Burns, Jennifer Financial Crimes Enforcement Network Kirby, Jimmy
jennifer.j.burns@frb.gov
sheri.james@fincen.gov
FinPro Musso, Donald
dmusso@finpro.us
Jack Henry & Associates Wetherington, Lee
LWetherington@jackhenry.com
CSBS STAFF Alcala, Alejandro Azizzada, Ghazal Barbieri, Dana Boyce, Sean Byers, Kevin Cooper, James Cross, Chuck Fisher, Laura Green, Leila Jarmin, Jennifer Lawson, Karen Liu, Margaret Lucernoni, Shannon Haire, Kelly
aalcala@csbs.org gazizzada@csbs.org dbarbieri@csbs.org sboyce@csbs.org kbyers@csbs.org jcooper@csbs.org ccross@csbs.org lfisher@csbs.org lgreen@csbs.org Khaire@csbs.org jjarmin@csbs.org klawson@csbs.org slucernoni@csbs.org mmiano@csbs.org smonnet@csbs.org Vpeck@csbs.org bplitt@csbs.org mbquist@csbs.org mliu@csbs.org
Miano, Mary
Monnet, Sebastien
Peck, Vickie Plitt, Bridget
Quist, Mary Beth
Internal Use Only #
Richardson, Amy Samowitz, Joey
arichardson@csbs.org jsamowitz@csbs.org
Szucs, Terrie Vasile, Tony
tszucs@csbs.org tvasile@csbs.org
Internal Use Only
The Current State and Outlook for Community Banking
46 East Main Street • Suite 303• Somerville, NJ 08876 • P: (908) 234 ‐ 9398• finpro@finpro.us • www.finpro.us
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
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A starting list of issues that will impact banking . . .
• Economy
•
Technology AI
Inflation vs Real Prices Interest Rates Unemployment and Labor Participation Rate Consumer Confidence and Spending Retail Sales GDP Recession • Regulation Bank Failures Liquidity Fears of Credit Decline Crypto, Fintech, BAAS and Other CRA FHLB Mission • Politics 2024 Election Social Media Threats ESG Tariffs and Subsidies
Shift to Cloud FedNow
Digital Dollar Cybersecurity Delivery Channels Boomers retiring Wealth Turnover Flight from Urban NIM Funding Asset Quality Talent Management
• Demographics
•
Banking
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Today, financial institutions are clearly in the Preserve Phase of the Banking Cycle . . .
Create
Build
Preserve
Restore
Realize
Form an Institution or Acquire a Charter
Stock Repurchase Strategy
Accelerate Strategic Plan
Identify and Mitigate Risks
Liquidate Problem Loans
Eliminate Unprofitable Customers and Channels
Ensure Compliance with Regulation
Acquire Loan and Deposits
Fully Leverage Capital
Dividend Strategy
Acquire Fee Generating businesses
Market Multiple Flooring
Grow Balance Sheet
Stress Test Extensively
Bank Sale Strategy
Review and Tighten Governance like Policies
Acquire Customers and Markets
Expand Target Customers
The key to managing through the Preserve Phase is having an effective tool to identify the major risk areas.
Utilize Capital Markets Effectively
Enhance Delivery Channels
Educate and Train
Bundle Products and Services
Fortress Balance Sheet
Market Multiple Expansion
Market Multiple Locking
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Economic Environment
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The Story:
The Loss of Rationality Leading indicators point toward recession But: Consumer and Federal Spending are at all time highs (bubble) while unemployment remains low Fueled by over abundant quantitative easing Causing unbelievably high national and personal debt WHICH IS UNSUSTAINABLE So, what will be the causal effect to trigger the trip wire? Likely it will be the cost of the debt and the ability to repay the debt! But it appears that PEOPLE JUST DON’T CARE!
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Internal Use Only How much debt can the U.S. handle? Since the debt ceiling was raised, U.S. debt has gone from $31.7 trillion to $33.1 trillion . . .
4/9/23
9/27/23
The Debt to GDP ratio has ticked up in the recent quarter and looks poised to remain at historical levels
Data as of 9/27/2023
Source: CRFB; FRED
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The Administration, House and Senate have NO FISCAL DISCIPLINE!!!
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A growing supply of treasuries will be needed to fund the debt and this will be matched with a falling demand which will result in higher yields and lower prices . . .
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Regulatory Environment
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What are some hot button regulatory concerns? . . .
• Lack of effective risk identification • Capital adequacy for this stage in the life cycle Low Tangible Equity • Weak Liquidity Deposit Runoff Uninsured Deposit Levels Mark ‐ to ‐ Market Risk Inability to sell underwater securities timely and at positive valuations
• Deteriorating Asset Quality • Increasing Interest Rate Risk • Need for enhanced Corporate Governance • Unrealistic modeling and assumptions for banking industry • CRA – Expectations of 10% Needs to Improve • Mission of FHLBs • Sunsetting of Federal Reserve BTFP
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So what do the Regulators see as the risks to the financial services sector . . .
2018 and beyond 2023
Credit Risk
Operational
Capital
Strategic
Management
Sensitivity
Earnings
Legal & Regulatory
Liquidity
CRA Fair Lending
BSA
Reputation
Climate Risk
Cyber
Compliance
Valuatio n
Corp Governance
Risk Management
Economy
Pandemic
The chart above illustrates the CAMELS+ components and the overall regulatory focus on each component. Over time, each of these components shift based upon the overall projected banking environment.
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Risk
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CSBS 2023 Industry Report: External Risks . . .
Home
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CSBS 2023 Industry Report: Internal Risks . . .
Home
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Banks must start emphasizing forward looking indicators over lagging indicators . . .
Credit Predictive Indicators / Exceptions
Credit Indicators
Covenant Exception Trends
Charge off trends
Performance Based Lagging Indicators Helps to assess current asset quality and overall
Policy Exception trends
Delinquency Trends
Forward Looking Indicators
Term/Condition Exceptions
ACA Trends
Helps to assess risks that drive the performance ratios
Non accrual Trends
Pricing Exceptions
financial condition
Concentration Trends
TDR Trends
Home
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And minimize use of credit elements that lead to problems . . .
Credit Predictive Indicators / Risk Appetite
Credit Predictive Indicators / Risk Appetite
New Products and services
Leveraged Lending
Out of territory lending
CRE Pipeline for renewal
Forward Looking Indicators
Extended Amortizations
Cash out refi’s
Helps to assess risks that drive the performance ratios
Originate to sell
Non recourse
Concentration Trends
Originated or Purchased
Home
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To identify and prioritize the risk profile banks, need to utilize a scoring model like FinPro’s to identify and score bank risk . . .
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The risk model looks at all risk relative to market thresholds and comparative data . . .
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Continued . . .
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And concentrations must be evaluated . . .
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Are regulators going to require Risk assessed Capital?
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And ultimately benchmarking capital on a risk assessed basis?
Comparison Analytics As of June 30, 2023
Tier 1 Leverage
Tier 1 Risk Based Capital
Total Risk Based Capital
Sample Bank Starting Point
8.88%
9.87%
10.75%
Peer Median
9.77% 9.94% 9.99% 10.33%
13.46% 12.80% 12.73% 14.27%
13.93% 13.18% 13.31% 14.08%
$1B ‐ $5B Bank Median $1B ‐ $5B HP Bank Median Mid Atlantic Bank Median
Median of Above
9.97%
13.13%
13.62%
FinPro Regulatory Threshold High Risk FinPro Regulatory Threshold Moderate Risk
8.00% 9.00%
10.00% 11.25%
11.00% 13.00%
Resulting Goal Ratio
9.44%
11.80%
12.97%
This Bank will need to increase its capital to cover its risk profile. When the Bank fixes its risk profile, its capital requirement will decrease accordingly!
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A new and deeper liquidity analysis is necessary in light of the bank failures this spring . . .
• Add time sequenced liquidity • Shift from cash to fed master account availability • Shift borrowing capacity in front of on ‐ balance sheet liquidity • Brokered and listing are acceptable funding sources for IRR and Liquidity • Large deposits ($250k and up, large deposits, uninsured deposits) must be analyzed • Banks must rethink and redo their contingency funding plans
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Internal Use Only We need to replace the antiquated liquidity measurement with new time sequenced measures . . .
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Declining deposits and the rising cost of funds is the number one earnings issue. FinPro is seeing the following funding strategies . . .
• CD specials – especially short ‐ term CDs as the rate forecasts a declining rate environment • Utilizing CDARs and ICS to assist with uninsured deposit levels • New non maturity special accounts • Compensating deposit balances for small business loans • New market expansion (some with branches) • Adding business development staff to augment digital delivery • Geographic pricing and differentiation • Customer profitability analysis to achieve relationship pricing • Increased utilization of wholesale funding (brokered, listing, borrowings) • Utilizing investment cashflow to re ‐ invest into loans or cover deposit outflows • Utilize marginal cost of funds analysis +100 bps +100 bps +100 bps Total
Marginal Cost of Funds Analysis
Rate Environment
Balance
Rate Interest Expense
Beta Value Run Off
Option 1: Reprice Entire Portfolio Flat 100,000,000
3.00%
100%
3,000,000
0%
100,000,000
4.00%
4,000,000
100%
0%
Option 2: Don't Reprice and Replace with Higher Cost Money Flat 100,000,000 3.00% 3,000,000
25%
0%
75,000,000 25,000,000 100,000,000
3.00% 6.00% 3.75%
2,250,000 1,500,000 3,750,000
0% 0%
20% 20%
Savings $ Savings %
250,000
6.3%
7.00% @ 25% run off 33.3% @ 6% rate
Break ‐ Even Rate Break ‐ Even Run Off
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Regulators have pre ‐ determined CRE to be the next huge problem. As such, we need to mitigate the problem now to hold value . . .
Qt 1: 2022
Qt 1: 2023
Change
EBITDA Cap Rate
$
2,000,000
$
2,000,000
4.00%
7.00%
3.00%
Value
$
50,000,000
$ 28,571,429
$
(21,428,571)
Loan to Value Loan Amount
70.00%
122.50%
$
35,000,000
$ 35,000,000
Underwater
$
(6,428,571)
According to Morgan Stanley, there is $1.5 trillion of CRE debt coming due in the next 3 years. They estimate that much of this won’t roll over and that that could cause prices to fall by 40%. That would be even worse than the financial crisis. And to add insult to injury, 67% of these loans are held by regional banks.
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Internal Use Only There are numerous collateral types to utilize for Portfolio Stratification . . .
Management is encouraged to stratify the portfolio by: • Property Type • Geographic Market • Tenant Concentrations • Tenant Industries • Developer Concentrations • Risk Ratings • Other Loan structure (fixed or variable)
And the property types are numerous: • Multi ‐ family (5 and more units) • Mixed Use Residential • Investor 1 ‐ 4 Family Residential • Strip Retail • Retail (1 to 3 Units) • Mixed Use Commercial • Self ‐ Storage Center • Industrial
• Warehouse • Golf Course • Gas Station and Auto • Hotel • Restaurant • Medical • Office • Senior Citizen Housing • Other Commercial • Construction
Loan purpose (construction, short term or perm) LTV DSC Policy exceptions Affiliated loans
Vintage Balance
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Formerly booming areas like San Francisco and Austin Texas are struggling with high office vacancy rates, while smaller metro areas such as Wilmington, NC and Savannah, GA are seeing less impact. . .
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Risk Management ultimately determines residual risk in banks . . .
Board and Sr. Mgmt Oversight
Policies, Procedures, and Limits
Risk Monitoring and MIS
Internal Controls
Lines of authority and responsibility for risk management and policy adherence
Must identify, measure, monitor, and control significant risks
Establish Risk Appetite
Must address all material risks
Must establish accountability and lines of authority
Key assumptions must be reasonable and documented
Must have independence and objectivity
Skills, Knowledge and experience
Reports to the Board and Senior Mgmt must be accurate, timely, and comprehensive
Must address new products/services and modifications to existing
Ensure mgmt. is capable
Must be adequately tested and reviewed
Home
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Corporate Governance
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Corporate Governance: The dirty dozen . . .
1. Board Composition: tenure vs age 2. Nominating committee: director “key attributes” (skills, diversification, business development, etc.) 3. New Director program (fiduciary responsibilities, board portal, strategic plan, public company, etc.) 4. Succession Planning (Board and Mgmt) 5. Technology (tablets, portals, etc.) 6. Strategic vs. Tactical (consent, action, discussion) 7. Management Reports: READ (recommendation/executive summary/analysis/data) 8. Director Reviews: CAR (content/avoid/requests) 9. Committees: structure, timing, report out, rotation 10. Loan Committee: insider, policy exception, large relationship, pipeline, concentrations 11. CEO performance evaluation (vs. Strategic Plan) 12. Training
Documentation is critical Credible Challenge is critical
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Corporate Governance is getting more and more of a focus . . .
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And training and education is now a necessity . . .
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FinPro offers a webinar series to Financial Institutions to provide direct Board and “C” suite training. All State Departments of Banking can participate for free (4 already do) . . .
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So what are banks to do?
Preserve
Identify and Mitigate Risks
Perform a comprehensive risk assessment and conduct self scoring
Ensure Compliance with Regulation
Bolster compliance, you cannot afford a mistake in this area. The penalties are too harsh
In addition to loan, deposit, liquidity, capital and IRR stress testing, conduct scenario tests in planning
Stress Test Extensively
Review and Tighten Governance like Policies
Conduct a heightened review of policies
Compile more detailed training grids and execute
Educate and Train
Fortress Balance Sheet
Now is not the time to take unnecessary risk
Market Multiple Locking
Effective execution during this phase will not only help you from a regulatory standpoint but it will also build value
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Bank Performance
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Internal Use Only From a banking perspective, problem Institutions both by number and total assets remain manageable . . .
This is amazing considering COVID and the Economic uncertainty.
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Loan growth, against the majority of opinion, remains healthy . . .
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Source: Call Report Data
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Industry deposit growth rates have turned positive in all regions. However, they remain low . . .
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Source: Call Report Data
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As usual in rising rate periods, time deposits continue to grow industry wide, as non ‐ interest bearing deposits decline . . .
Noninterest Bearing Deposits / Total Deposits
Time Deposits / Total Deposits
40.00
30.00
Industry
Industry
35.00
25.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
30.00
20.00
25.00
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
20.00
15.00
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
15.00
10.00
South ‐ East
South ‐ East
10.00
5.00
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
5.00
0.00
0.00
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Noninterest Bearing Deposits / Total Deposits
Time Deposits / Total Deposits
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Change QoQ
Change YoY
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 18.74 17.75 17.48 17.62 18.65 21.08 23.24 25.16 17.75 17.15 17.48 17.15 19.64 23.59 25.12 25.79 19.31 18.17 17.93 18.41 19.10 21.39 23.68 25.59 18.71 17.75 16.86 17.51 19.17 24.04 26.07 28.55 20.41 19.50 19.31 19.01 20.31 23.06 24.95 26.65 18.15 17.15 16.63 16.31 16.75 19.29 21.06 22.57 9.44 8.97 9.35 9.09 10.86 14.38 16.50 18.64
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 25.76 25.77 25.90 26.27 25.86 24.54 24.15 23.52 22.30 22.23 22.44 22.56 22.22 21.11 21.05 20.04 24.02 23.91 23.94 23.97 24.10 23.00 22.41 21.85 20.63 20.29 21.03 20.12 20.10 19.44 18.37 17.98 27.40 27.73 28.10 28.47 27.63 26.47 25.79 25.32 31.81 32.33 32.64 32.99 32.45 30.92 30.02 29.43 34.09 32.93 33.31 33.15 32.28 31.02 30.50 29.78
Industry
1.92 0.67 1.91 1.70 1.51 2.14
7.54 8.65 7.18 7.64 6.27 9.56
Industry
‐ 0.63 ‐ 1.01 ‐ 0.56 ‐ 0.39 ‐ 0.47 ‐ 0.59 ‐ 0.73
‐ 2.75 ‐ 2.53 ‐ 2.13 ‐ 2.14 ‐ 3.15 ‐ 3.56 ‐ 3.38
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
2.48 11.05
West
West
Notice the weakness of the Northeast (as seen in yellow line).
Source: Call Report Data, FinPro calculations
40
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
40
Internal Use Only
As deposits decline, wholesale funding usage increases . . .
Again, the Northeast leads the negative trend.
41
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
41
Internal Use Only
Loans as a percentage of deposits and total assets continue to grow . . .
42
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
42
Internal Use Only
Industry cost of funds and cost of interest ‐ bearing continue to rise rapidly . . .
Cost of Interest Bearing Liab
Cost of Funds
2.50
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 0.27 0.24 0.26 0.36 0.62 0.95 1.30 1.62 0.30 0.27 0.30 0.45 0.75 1.15 1.51 1.79 0.29 0.26 0.27 0.39 0.63 0.94 1.28 1.58 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.36 0.65 1.12 1.53 1.77 0.26 0.23 0.24 0.32 0.59 0.93 1.30 1.63 0.22 0.21 0.23 0.33 0.56 0.90 1.29 1.58 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.27 0.53 0.85 1.27 1.60 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.00 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Industry
Industry
2.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ West
1.50
Mid ‐ West
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
1.00
South ‐ East
South ‐ East
0.50
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
0.00
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Cost of Interest Bearing Liab
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Cost of Funds
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 0.37 0.33 0.36 0.51 0.85 1.30 1.76 2.12 0.40 0.37 0.40 0.59 0.97 1.49 1.86 2.24 0.39 0.35 0.37 0.51 0.83 1.24 1.66 2.03 0.34 0.30 0.31 0.48 0.86 1.40 1.89 2.20 0.36 0.33 0.35 0.47 0.82 1.32 1.80 2.23 0.34 0.31 0.35 0.50 0.87 1.35 1.89 2.26 0.27 0.25 0.28 0.42 0.85 1.33 1.90 2.32
Industry
0.32 0.28 0.30 0.24 0.33 0.29 0.34
1.26 1.34 1.20 1.41 1.31 1.25 1.33
Industry
0.36 0.38 0.37 0.31 0.44 0.37 0.42
1.61 1.65 1.52 1.72 1.76 1.76 1.90
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
West
43
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
43
Internal Use Only
The cost of wholesale funding is rising dramatically . . .
Cost of Borrowings
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 1.20 1.11 1.19 1.77 2.45 3.00 3.82 4.09 1.41 1.28 1.28 2.04 2.64 3.33 3.93 4.17 1.15 1.07 1.20 1.73 2.33 2.80 3.69 3.99 1.47 1.23 1.09 1.73 2.84 3.75 4.15 4.23 1.23 1.19 1.18 1.76 2.47 3.20 3.82 4.15 1.12 1.10 1.23 1.81 2.68 3.11 4.08 4.39 0.95 0.80 1.03 1.53 2.26 2.88 4.07 4.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Industry
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ West
North ‐ East
South ‐ East
South ‐ West
West
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Cost of Borrowings
Industry
0.27 0.24 0.31 0.08 0.33 0.32 ‐ 0.07
2.32 2.13 2.26 2.50 2.39 2.58 2.47
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
44
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
44
Internal Use Only
Yields continue to expand upwards on both investments (interest bearing cash and investments combined) as well as loans . . .
Yield on Loans
Yield on Investments
7.00
3.50
Industry
Industry
6.00
3.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
5.00
2.50
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
4.00
2.00
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
3.00
1.50
South ‐ East
2.00
South ‐ East
1.00
0.50
1.00
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
0.00
0.00
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Yield on Investments 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Yield on Loans
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 4.89 4.64 4.72 4.93 5.18 5.32 5.62 5.89 4.31 4.16 4.20 4.45 4.77 4.88 5.07 5.26 4.77 4.55 4.60 4.81 5.05 5.19 5.49 5.75 4.04 3.89 3.91 4.12 4.37 4.49 4.65 4.85 5.11 4.91 4.96 5.14 5.38 5.56 5.87 6.14 5.41 5.17 5.26 5.51 5.80 5.93 6.25 6.55 5.09 4.78 4.90 5.13 5.42 5.55 5.88 6.03
Industry
1.03 1.09 1.39 1.92 2.28 2.41 2.55 2.61 0.92 1.03 1.40 2.01 2.57 2.72 2.88 2.95 1.10 1.14 1.40 1.84 2.13 2.20 2.34 2.41 1.12 1.29 1.59 2.09 2.46 2.56 2.81 2.78 0.99 1.06 1.39 1.97 2.39 2.53 2.75 2.79 0.96 1.02 1.35 1.94 2.34 2.50 2.66 2.80 0.83 0.90 1.31 1.98 2.55 2.87 3.10 3.26
0.06 0.07 0.07 ‐ 0.03 0.04 0.14 0.16
0.69 0.95 0.57 0.68 0.82 0.87 1.28
Industry
0.27 0.20 0.26 0.20 0.27 0.31 0.15
0.96 0.81 0.94 0.73 1.00 1.04 0.90
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
West
Note the weakness in the Northeast!
45
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
45
Internal Use Only
Yield on Assets is also climbing . . .
Yield on Earning Assets
6.00
Industry
5.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
4.00
Mid ‐ West
3.00
North ‐ East
2.00
South ‐ East
1.00
South ‐ West
0.00
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Yield on Earning Assets
Change QoQ
Change YoY
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 3.41 3.26 3.45 3.82 4.19 4.37 4.65 4.87 3.24 3.18 3.33 3.69 4.07 4.33 4.55 4.74 3.37 3.20 3.39 3.74 4.06 4.22 4.51 4.71 3.25 3.20 3.33 3.60 3.88 4.03 4.23 4.41 3.57 3.43 3.60 4.02 4.37 4.59 4.88 5.09 3.55 3.42 3.63 4.08 4.50 4.73 5.02 5.27 3.36 3.21 3.51 3.93 4.39 4.59 4.90 5.07
Industry
0.22 0.19 0.21 0.18 0.21 0.25 0.17
1.05 1.05 0.97 0.81 1.07 1.19 1.14
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
46
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
46
Internal Use Only
As expected, margin has contracted for banks over the most recent quarters . . .
Net Interest Margin
4.50
Industry
4.00
3.50
Mid ‐ Atlantic
3.00
Mid ‐ West
2.50
2.00
North ‐ East
1.50
South ‐ East
1.00
South ‐ West
0.50
0.00
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Net Interest Margin 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Industry
3.12 3.00 3.19 3.44 3.56 3.40 3.36 3.33 2.95 2.87 3.03 3.27 3.38 3.20 3.13 3.03 3.06 2.92 3.09 3.33 3.40 3.27 3.25 3.21 2.98 2.96 3.10 3.27 3.28 2.99 2.79 2.73 3.27 3.15 3.33 3.65 3.78 3.62 3.56 3.51 3.33 3.22 3.38 3.71 3.89 3.78 3.79 3.75 3.19 3.04 3.34 3.62 3.81 3.69 3.58 3.56
‐ 0.03 ‐ 0.10 ‐ 0.04 ‐ 0.06 ‐ 0.05 ‐ 0.04 ‐ 0.02
‐ 0.11 ‐ 0.24 ‐ 0.12 ‐ 0.54 ‐ 0.14 0.04 ‐ 0.06
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
47
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
47
Internal Use Only
Return on Average Equity declined in the most recent quarters, but is still healthy . . .
ROAE
18.00
Industry
16.00
14.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
12.00
Mid ‐ West
10.00
8.00
North ‐ East
6.00
South ‐ East
4.00
South ‐ West
2.00
0.00
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change QoQ
Change YoY
ROAE
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 8.57 8.83 11.06 13.29 12.88 11.58 11.13 10.93 8.04 7.49 8.71 10.53 10.51 8.59 8.13 7.69 7.98 8.63 10.92 13.36 12.42 11.52 11.12 11.08 8.20 5.56 6.01 8.43 10.48 6.49 5.80 5.04 8.78 9.08 11.70 13.73 13.29 12.33 11.76 11.58 10.07 10.46 13.44 15.93 15.52 14.82 13.99 13.56 9.93 9.63 11.27 13.11 13.26 11.44 10.31 10.54
Industry
‐ 0.20 ‐ 0.44 ‐ 0.04 ‐ 0.76 ‐ 0.18 ‐ 0.43 0.23
‐ 2.36 ‐ 2.84 ‐ 2.28 ‐ 3.39 ‐ 2.15 ‐ 2.37 ‐ 2.57
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
48
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
48
Internal Use Only
ROAA and efficiency ratio show similar earnings concerns . . .
Efficiency Ratio
ROAA
90.00
1.40
Industry
Industry
80.00
1.20
70.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
1.00
60.00
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
0.80
50.00
40.00
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
0.60
30.00
South ‐ East
South ‐ East
0.40
20.00
0.20
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
10.00
0.00
0.00
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Change QoQ
Change YoY
ROAA
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 0.91 0.88 1.00 1.15 1.11 1.05 1.01 0.97 0.88 0.83 0.92 1.01 1.01 0.88 0.81 0.78 0.84 0.85 0.99 1.13 1.04 1.01 0.98 0.95 0.82 0.59 0.63 0.73 0.90 0.61 0.55 0.46 0.92 0.88 1.04 1.18 1.14 1.08 1.05 1.04 1.04 1.03 1.16 1.32 1.32 1.31 1.26 1.19 1.03 0.95 1.04 1.16 1.23 1.08 1.02 0.99
Efficiency Ratio
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 68.53 67.97 64.52 61.85 63.55 64.16 65.32 65.89 67.03 67.90 66.17 62.71 64.73 66.48 67.17 68.39 68.65 68.04 64.61 61.98 64.46 64.80 65.37 66.36 75.22 73.36 71.05 68.93 70.11 74.95 77.44 79.35 69.36 68.21 64.58 62.54 63.32 64.20 65.24 65.03 67.21 66.96 63.33 60.19 61.06 60.81 61.54 62.07 63.30 63.25 61.10 59.04 58.44 61.27 62.95 63.12
Industry
‐ 0.04 ‐ 0.03 ‐ 0.03 ‐ 0.09 ‐ 0.01 ‐ 0.07 ‐ 0.03
‐ 0.18 ‐ 0.23 ‐ 0.18 ‐ 0.27 ‐ 0.14 ‐ 0.13 ‐ 0.17
Industry
0.57 1.22 0.99 ‐ 0.20 0.53 0.17
4.04 5.68 4.38 2.49 1.89 4.08
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
1.91 10.42
West
West
49
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
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Internal Use Only
Noninterest Income continues its long term decline and interestingly, banks have not reduced expenses as of yet . . .
Non Interest Expense/ AA
Non Interest Income/ AA
3.00
0.70
Industry
Industry
0.60
2.50
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
0.50
2.00
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
0.40
1.50
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
0.30
1.00
South ‐ East
South ‐ East
0.20
0.50
0.10
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
0.00
0.00
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Non Interest Income/ AA
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Non Interest Expense/ AA Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West Industry
Change QoQ
Change YoY
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 0.51 0.46 0.46 0.43 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.42 0.46 0.41 0.41 0.38 0.37 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.48 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.38 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.52 0.43 0.43 0.40 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.38 0.59 0.55 0.57 0.51 0.46 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.54 0.50 0.50 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.45 0.43 0.38 0.34 0.32 0.31 0.34 0.35
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2.49 2.33 2.35 2.41 2.52 2.46 2.46 2.48 2.31 2.27 2.26 2.32 2.41 2.36 2.34 2.39 2.44 2.27 2.28 2.33 2.46 2.38 2.39 2.39 2.64 2.46 2.48 2.49 2.54 2.49 2.44 2.42 2.66 2.45 2.48 2.56 2.69 2.59 2.62 2.62 2.59 2.42 2.47 2.50 2.66 2.57 2.60 2.63 2.31 2.23 2.27 2.33 2.41 2.50 2.49 2.47
Industry
0.00 0.00 0.00 ‐ 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.01
‐ 0.01 0.00 ‐ 0.02 ‐ 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.01
0.02 0.05 0.00 ‐ 0.02 0.00 0.02 ‐ 0.02
0.07 0.08 0.06 ‐ 0.07 0.06 0.13 0.14
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
West
50
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
50
Internal Use Only
And we have not seen improvement in the non interest expense less non interest income ratio . . .
(Non Interest Expense ‐ Non Interest Income)/AA
2.50
Industry
2.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ West
1.50
North ‐ East
1.00
South ‐ East
0.50
South ‐ West
0.00
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
(Non Interest Expense ‐ Non Interest Income)/AA 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change YoY
Change QoQ
Industry
1.84 1.77 1.78 1.98 2.03 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.85 1.86 1.85 1.94 2.04 2.01 1.96 2.01 1.96 1.84 1.86 1.92 2.08 2.01 2.00 2.00 2.12 2.03 2.04 2.09 2.18 2.11 2.04 2.04 2.07 1.90 1.91 2.05 2.23 2.10 2.11 2.09 2.05 1.92 1.97 2.02 2.19 2.11 2.12 2.15 1.86 1.80 1.89 1.99 2.09 2.19 2.15 2.12
‐ 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00 ‐ 0.03 0.02 ‐ 0.03
‐ 0.04 0.07 0.08 ‐ 0.05 0.03 0.13 0.13
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
51
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
51
Internal Use Only
Capital indicators display strength in the banking industry . . .
Tier 1 (Core) Capital / Risk ‐ Weighted Assets
Tier 1 (Core) Capital / Average Total Assets
16.00
10.00 10.20 10.40 10.60 10.80 11.00 11.20
Industry
Industry
15.50
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
15.00
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
14.50
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
14.00
9.00 9.20 9.40 9.60 9.80
South ‐ East
13.50
South ‐ East
13.00
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
12.50
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Tier 1 (Core) Capital / Risk ‐ Weighted Assets
Tier 1 (Core) Capital / Average Total Assets 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Change QoQ
Change YoY
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 14.87 14.81 14.50 14.47 14.22 14.30 14.25 14.26 15.19 15.01 14.95 14.89 14.63 14.56 14.49 14.65 14.51 14.62 14.17 13.98 13.75 13.89 13.66 13.61 14.83 14.49 14.08 13.97 13.67 13.81 13.63 13.65 14.95 14.77 14.52 14.49 14.34 14.34 14.27 14.27 15.44 15.38 15.29 15.37 15.21 15.39 15.41 15.60 15.01 14.88 14.68 14.64 14.71 14.87 14.71 14.91
Industry
9.96 9.90 10.02 10.20 10.30 10.38 10.51 10.63 9.98 10.12 10.19 10.44 10.45 10.42 10.45 10.56 9.95 9.85 9.99 10.11 10.21 10.19 10.35 10.43 10.34 10.40 10.45 10.37 10.35 10.45 10.50 10.58 9.89 9.84 9.96 10.20 10.35 10.37 10.49 10.72 10.06 9.95 10.05 10.30 10.39 10.58 10.73 10.97 9.77 9.89 10.00 10.31 10.40 10.72 10.83 11.03
0.13 0.11 0.08 0.08 0.24 0.24 0.20
0.43 0.12 0.32 0.22 0.52 0.67 0.72
Industry
0.01 0.16 ‐ 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.19 0.20
‐ 0.21 ‐ 0.24 ‐ 0.37 ‐ 0.32 ‐ 0.22 0.24 0.28
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
West
52
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
52
Internal Use Only
And the growth in loans has reduced total risk based capital ratios . . .
Risk Based Capital / Risk ‐ Weighted Assets
Tangible Equity / Tangible Assets
17.00
12.00
Industry
Industry
16.50
10.00
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
16.00
8.00
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
15.50
6.00
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
15.00
4.00
South ‐ East
14.50
South ‐ East
2.00
14.00
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
0.00
13.50
West
West
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Risk Based Capital / Risk ‐ Weighted Assets
Tangible Equity / Tangible Assets
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Change QoQ
Change YoY
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 9.88 9.02 8.63 8.37 8.61 8.86 8.86 8.72 9.87 9.47 9.34 9.16 9.22 9.30 9.31 9.22 9.90 8.97 8.46 8.12 8.36 8.65 8.56 8.30 10.20 9.73 9.27 8.91 9.18 9.25 9.13 9.03 9.81 8.89 8.37 8.33 8.57 8.76 8.88 8.77 9.91 8.97 8.66 8.53 8.81 9.03 9.10 9.09 9.64 9.10 8.90 9.00 9.48 9.51 9.69 9.83
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 15.95 15.93 15.62 15.54 15.31 15.42 15.36 15.33 16.17 16.13 16.05 15.98 15.78 15.67 15.56 15.70 15.61 15.65 15.34 15.09 14.78 14.98 14.72 14.80 15.89 15.61 14.97 14.83 14.73 14.90 14.73 14.77 15.98 15.84 15.63 15.44 15.36 15.45 15.37 15.36 16.60 16.59 16.36 16.38 16.34 16.41 16.54 16.62 15.92 16.13 15.87 15.89 15.74 15.95 15.99 16.13
Industry
‐ 0.14 ‐ 0.09 ‐ 0.26 ‐ 0.10 ‐ 0.11 ‐ 0.01 0.14
0.35 0.06 0.18 0.13 0.44 0.57 0.82
Industry
‐ 0.03 0.14 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.08 0.14
‐ 0.21 ‐ 0.29 ‐ 0.29 ‐ 0.06 ‐ 0.08 0.24 0.24
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
West
53
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
53
Internal Use Only
Regardless of Regulatory concern, so far Asset quality is holding . . .
Total Delinquencies / Total Loans
Nonaccrual/Total Loans
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 0.27 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.44 0.42 0.38 0.35 0.32 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.22 0.20 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.34 0.33 0.28 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.30 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 0.72 0.75 0.64 0.61 0.64 0.65 0.64 0.70 0.85 0.85 0.74 0.68 0.77 0.72 0.72 0.78 0.67 0.71 0.63 0.59 0.62 0.65 0.63 0.68 0.52 0.53 0.44 0.43 0.46 0.42 0.47 0.48 0.84 0.87 0.76 0.69 0.75 0.71 0.69 0.73 0.83 0.84 0.70 0.70 0.73 0.77 0.76 0.86 0.50 0.48 0.42 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.46 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3
Industry
Industry
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ Atlantic
Mid ‐ West
Mid ‐ West
North ‐ East
North ‐ East
South ‐ East
South ‐ East
South ‐ West
South ‐ West
West
West
Total Delinquencies / Total Loans
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Nonaccrual/Total Loans
Change QoQ
Change YoY
Industry
0.06 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.04
0.09 0.10 0.09 0.05 0.04 0.16 0.08
Industry
0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.02
0.01 ‐ 0.02 0.00 ‐ 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
Mid ‐ Atlantic Mid ‐ West North ‐ East South ‐ East South ‐ West
West
West
54
Source: Call Report Data
© 2023 –FinPro, Inc.
54
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