Large Bank Supervision Forum 2023
Internal Use Only
Business Conditions
90
70
50
30
10
Q2 2019
Q3 2019
Q4 2019
Q1 2020
Q2 2020
Q3 2020
Q4 2020
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Q3 2021
Q4 2021
Q1 2022
Q2 2022
Q3 2022
Q4 2022
‐ 10
‐ 30
‐ 50
‐ 70
‐ 90
BC Better
BC Worse BC Index
Internal Use Only
Yield Curve and the CBSI Business Conditions Indicator
160
1.50
140
Yield Curve
Yield Curve (10 ‐ year Treasury Minus 2 ‐ year Treasury)
120
1.00
Business Conditions Index
40 CBSI Business Conditions Index 60 80 100
0.50
0.00
‐ 0.50
20
0
‐ 1.00
2019 ‐ 04 ‐ 01
2019 ‐ 06 ‐ 01
2019 ‐ 08 ‐ 01
2019 ‐ 10 ‐ 01
2019 ‐ 12 ‐ 01
2020 ‐ 02 ‐ 01
2020 ‐ 04 ‐ 01
2020 ‐ 06 ‐ 01
2020 ‐ 08 ‐ 01
2020 ‐ 10 ‐ 01
2020 ‐ 12 ‐ 01
2021 ‐ 02 ‐ 01
2021 ‐ 04 ‐ 01
2021 ‐ 06 ‐ 01
2021 ‐ 08 ‐ 01
2021 ‐ 10 ‐ 01
2021 ‐ 12 ‐ 01
2022 ‐ 02 ‐ 01
2022 ‐ 04 ‐ 01
2022 ‐ 06 ‐ 01
2022 ‐ 08 ‐ 01
2022 ‐ 10 ‐ 01
2022 ‐ 12 ‐ 01
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