Large Bank Examination Workshop February 2026
sensitivity analyses are conducted at least annually for all significant model
assumptions, including loan prepayments.
Status of Prior Validation Finding:
1. (Low Risk) – The weighted average lives calculated by Mountain View/MPS in 2018 for the
Bank ’s non -maturity deposit accounts were within reasonable ranges but behaved very
differently under the rate scenarios utilized in the study compared to the same calculations
from a prior study performed in 2016. Specifically, many of the weighted average lives
calculated in 2018 moved in the opposite direction from those calculated in 2016 when
subjected to rate shocks.
a. Recommendation: The Bank should ensure that formal analysis is conducted and
documented to either justify this change in results or correct any potential errors in
either the calculation of the WALs or their implementation in the Model. The results of
this analysis should be reported to ALCO.
b. Management Response : Management will contact Mountain View to discuss this
discrepancy in the calculations and report the findings to ALCO. The results of the
2020 calculations will also be verified.
c. Resolution Status : TBD
2. (Low Risk) – For the Bank's construction and commercial real estate loan portfolio, The
Model is using the Bank's actual customer prepayment history to determine projected
prepayment assumptions. This static analysis, while accurate on an average basis over a
complete rate cycle, does not account for the dynamic changes in prepayment speed
behaviors as market rates and external non-financial influences change. The unprecedented
continuation of a low rate environment, coupled with the impact of the current pandemic, are
all indications that historical correlations are unlikely to be a useful basis for forecasting
future prepayment behaviors.
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