DataPalooza 2021

Thought Experiment

In 2013 dollars, what will the price of one Bitcoin be in 5 years?

$48,162 (Oct 2021)

Range of likely outcomes My 90% CI is $50,000 to $100,00

Over ‐ confident

Under ‐ confident

Debrief and Questions

 What questions do you have about what we discussed?

 Did any of the quotes give you a new perspective?  What is your perspective on probability? Are you more the 50/50 or 99% certainty type?