Capital Markets School - Case Study
2 Year Net Interest Income (NII) Simulation - 12M Ramps - 12/31/2021
Base Simulation as of 12/31/2021
Base Simulation as of 09/30/2021
Monthly Net Interest Income (NII) Projections
Monthly Net Interest Income (NII) Projections
2,200
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
2,025
1,850
1,675
1,500
1,325
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
M9
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
M9
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
M9
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
M9
M10
M11
M12
M10
M11
M12
M10
M11
M12
M10
M11
M12
Up 200BP
Base
Down 100BP
Up 200BP
Base
Down 100BP
NII RESULTS
Y1
Y2
2Y CML
NII
$Δ %Δ
NII
$Δ %Δ
NII
$Δ %Δ
Base Simulation as of 12/31/2021 UP 200BP
22,243 -952 -4.1%
22,206 -990 -4.3% 23,003 -193 -0.8% 20,959 -2,237 -9.6% 20,805 -694 -3.2% 20,401 -1,097 -5.1% 18,626 -2,873 -13.4%
44,449 -1,749 -3.8%
23,196
46,198
BASE
DOWN 100BP
22,662 -533 -2.3%
43,621 -2,577 -5.6%
Base Simulation as of 09/30/2021 UP 200BP
21,172 -327 -1.5%
41,976 41,900
76 0.2%
21,499
BASE
DOWN 100BP
21,012 -486 -2.3%
39,638 -2,262 -5.4%
Difference UP 200BP
1,072 1,697 1,650
-2.6%
1,401 2,601 2,333
-1.0% 4.3% 3.7%
2,473 4,298 3,983
-4.0%
BASE
DOWN 100BP
0.0%
-0.2%
1. This quarter's NII model includes $2.6MM of PPP loans of which 100% will be forgiven in Q1 2022, Accordingly, 100% of PPP loan cash flows are assumed to be parked in short-term cash (@ 0.15%). 2. The NII model also includes PPP fee income totaling $37K (following the same schedule as PPP forgiveness).
Cloyd Bank & Trust - Page 19
Made with FlippingBook flipbook maker