CMS Case Study
Liquidity Projection - 9/30/2021
90 Day Liquidity Forecast
Net New Loan Fundings
Net Core Deposit Flows*
NET CORE + DEPOSIT FLOWS*
NON-PLEDGABLE + INV CASH FLOWS
PROJECTED = BASIC SURPLUS
100MM
NET NEW LOAN − FUNDINGS
TIER 2 BASIC SURPLUS
50MM
CURRENT FORECAST 06/30/2021 FORECAST
215,640
0
0
705
216,345
173,562
0
0
600
174,162
0
ACTUAL
173,562
5,500 5,500
59,880 59,880
600
228,542 54,380
-50MM
FORECAST VARIANCE
09/20-12… 12/20-03… 03/21-06… 06/21-09…
09/20-12/20 12/20-03/21 03/21-06/21 06/21-09/21
*Excludes National, Brokered, Brokered One-Way, and Retail Repos
Actual
Forecast
Actual
Forecast
24 Month Cash Flow Projections
150MM
400MM
100MM
200MM
50MM
0
0
Q1Y1
Q2Y1
Q3Y1
Q4Y1
Q1Y2
Q2Y2
Q3Y2
Q4Y2
Q1Y1
Q2Y1
Q3Y1
Q4Y1
Q1Y2
Q2Y2
Q3Y2
Q4Y2
Asset
Liability
Net
Cumulative Net
ASSETS
Q1Y1 43,992 13,643 5,949 30,204 25,220 119,009
Q2Y1
Q3Y1
Q4Y1
Q1Y2
Q2Y2
Q3Y2
Q4Y2
Overnight Investments All Other Investments
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12,367 4,164 10,853 10,985 38,369
11,316 3,587 14,220 11,914 41,036
13,738 3,823 15,015 11,991 44,568
11,145 3,806 11,012 5,002 30,964
11,983 3,069 8,550 4,646 28,247
10,339 3,093 9,797 3,730 26,958
12,795 3,091 8,972 3,839 28,697
Residential Real Estate & Home Equity Loans Commercial & Ag Real Estate Loans
All Other Loans
Total Asset Cash Flow LIABILITIES Retail Time Deposits Brokered Deposits Wholesale Borrowings Total Liability Cash Flow
25,582
22,589
10,648
17,648
1,515
1,375
2,402
514
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
25,582 93,427 93,427
22,589 15,780 109,207
10,648 30,389 139,596
17,648 26,919 166,515
1,515 29,449 195,964
1,375 26,872 222,836
2,402 24,557 247,392
514
Net Cash Flow
28,183 275,575
Cumulative Net Cash Flow
1. Projections to be discussed @ ALCO.
Cloyd Bank & Trust - Page 12
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