CMS Case Study
Strategy Formulation - 6/30/2021
Objectives: Increase current earnings Maintain interest rate risk exposure within policy limits Targeted Liquidity Minimums: Tier 1 Basic Surplus 0%: Tier 2 Basic Surplus with FHLB > 4%; Tier 3 Basic Surplus with FHLB and Brokered > 8% Targeted minimum capital ratios Leverage = 8.00%; Risk-based = 12.50% Elements of Strategies: Deposits/Funding Current rates – there are still select rate cuts to be made; discuss NII impact of lowering and other considerations Deposit ‘homework’ and growth will help prepare for near – and long-term strategies Retail options Wholesale options Update on local deposit markets Discuss net growth outlook for remainder of the year (or shrinkage? See Simulation of outflow ) Has the net growth in deposits since March 2020 hidden any attrition?
Lending Growth outlook for remainder of 2021 Discuss loan rates/spreads/terms and impact on liquidity and interest rate risk What level of loan originations are required to maintain NII levels (See breakeven analysis)
For “best” credits and existing customers, how low can we go to keep the loans (discuss targeted amount of loan pool) If long-end of the curve holds at current levels, could we see re-finance activity pick back up? Prepayment fees? Credit quality concerns remain low within the industry (outside of specific sectors, i.e., hospitality), how do we feel?
Investments
Comfort level for cash position? Spreads are tight across all sectors – continue to re-invest cash flows into today’s market? Discuss in terms of overall liquidity, IRR, price risk, option risk, premium risk and “policy guidelines”
Other Discussion Items: Review key assumptions within IRR models and NII Lookback testing Quarterly stress testing update (loan pricing) Other? What’s on your mind?
Cloyd Bank & Trust - Page 35
Made with FlippingBook PDF to HTML5