CMS Case Study
2 Year Net Interest Income (NII) Simulation - 12M Ramps - 9/30/2020
Base Simulation as of 09/30/2020
Base Simulation as of 06/30/2020
Monthly Net Interest Income (NII) Projections
Monthly Net Interest Income (NII) Projections
1,850
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
1,725
1,600
1,475
1,350
1,225
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9
M10
M11
M12
M10
M11
M12
M10
M11
M12
M10
M11
M12
Up 200BP
Base
Down 100BP
Up 200BP
Base
Down 100BP
NII RESULTS
Y1
Y2
2Y CML
NII
$Δ %Δ
NII
$Δ %Δ
NII
$Δ %Δ
Base Simulation as of 09/30/2020 UP 200BP
19,285 18,727
558 3.0%
19,355
628 3.4%
38,639 2,353 6.5%
17,560 -1,167 -6.2% 17,200 -1,527 -8.2%
36,287
BASE
DOWN 100BP
18,608 -119 -0.6%
35,808 -479 -1.3%
Base Simulation as of 06/30/2020 UP 200BP
19,989 19,335 19,329
653 3.4%
20,453 1,118 5.8% 18,558 -778 -4.0% 18,382 -954 -4.9%
40,442 2,549 6.7%
37,893
BASE
DOWN 100BP
-6 0.0%
37,711 -182 -0.5%
Difference UP 200BP
-704 -608 -722
-0.4%
-1,099
-2.4% -2.2% -3.2%
-1,803 -1,606 -1,903
-0.2%
-998
BASE
DOWN 100BP -0.8% 1. This quarter's NII model includes $40.3MM of PPP loans of which 85% will be forgiven in Q4 2020 and Q1 2021 (evenly over each quarter), with the remaining 15% amortized off evenly over the following 15 months. Accordingly, 50% PPP loan cash flows are assumed to be parked in short-term cash (@ 0.10%) and 50% are assumed to roll off in tandem with DDA-PPP. 2. The NII model also includes PPP fee income totaling $1.26MM (60K/month over 21 months). -0.6% -1,181
Cloyd Bank & Trust - Page 19
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