CMS Case Study
Liquidity Projection - 12/31/2020
90 Day Liquidity Forecast
Net New Loan Fundings
Net Core Deposit Flows*
NET CORE + DEPOSIT FLOWS*
NON-PLEDGABLE + INV CASH FLOWS
PROJECTED = BASIC SURPLUS
100MM
NET NEW LOAN − FUNDINGS
TIER 2 BASIC SURPLUS
50MM
CURRENT FORECAST 09/30/2020 FORECAST
103,735
0
0
440
104,175
67,947
0
0
600
68,547
0
ACTUAL
67,947
3,696 3,696
36,674 36,674
600
101,526 32,978
-50MM
FORECAST VARIANCE
12/19-03… 03/20-06… 06/20-09… 09/20-12…
12/19-03/20 03/20-06/20 06/20-09/20 09/20-12/20
*Excludes National, Brokered, Brokered One-Way, and Retail Repos
Actual
Forecast
Actual
Forecast
24 Month Cash Flow Projections
200MM
400MM
100MM
200MM
0
0
Q1Y1
Q2Y1
Q3Y1
Q4Y1
Q1Y2
Q2Y2
Q3Y2
Q4Y2
Q1Y1
Q2Y1
Q3Y1
Q4Y1
Q1Y2
Q2Y2
Q3Y2
Q4Y2
Asset
Liability
Net
Cumulative Net
ASSETS
Q1Y1
Q2Y1
Q3Y1
Q4Y1
Q1Y2
Q2Y2
Q3Y2
Q4Y2
Overnight Investments All Other Investments
106,181 9,652 6,760 27,681 38,398 188,672
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,098 4,180 16,984 23,241 54,503
11,245 4,750 12,662 11,986 40,643
7,473 3,325 14,569 7,789 33,156
7,334 2,824 9,458 5,223
5,007 2,912 10,621 4,841 23,381
6,667 2,949 10,857 4,703 25,176
4,655 3,115 12,467 3,469 23,706
Residential Real Estate & Home Equity Loans Commercial & Ag Real Estate Loans
All Other Loans
Total Asset Cash Flow LIABILITIES Retail Time Deposits Brokered Deposits Wholesale Borrowings Total Liability Cash Flow
24,838
31,565
25,154
11,351
12,440
4,384
4,618
4,825
890
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
31,565 157,107 157,107
25,154 29,349 186,456
11,351 29,291 215,747
12,440 20,716 236,463
4,384 20,454 256,918
4,618 18,763 275,681
4,825 20,351 296,032
890
Net Cash Flow
22,816 318,848
Cumulative Net Cash Flow
1. Projections to be discussed @ ALCO.
Cloyd Bank & Trust - Page 12
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