CMS Case Study
Summary of Potential Strategies - 12/31/2021
STRATEGY
EXPECTED RESULTS
RISKS
1.
Loans : Update on credit quality and concentrations.
Loan growth key to NII
Earnings/capital levels.
growth & NIM expansion.
Reduced liquidity (current excess).
Discuss pricing, term, and structure trends. - Impact of excess liquidity industry wide? - Competition? - Impact of higher market rates? - Fixed vs. adjustable vs. variable. - Review spreads.
Discuss @ ALCO.
Increase exposure to rising rates if fixed rate focus.
Discuss @ ALCO.
Review impact to IRR and earnings of funding future loan growth with investment cashflow.
See alternative simulation with first year of investment cashflow funding loan growth.
Loan Collateral Update – Can we pledge more to the FHLB?
2. Investments/Wholesale: Review impact of purchases in 2021 and discuss plan for purchase and re-investment for 2022.
Trade-off between earnings and cash liquidity.
Unrealized losses on securities if rates rise.
Discuss @ ALCO.
Rising rate NII sensitivity.
Impact of higher rates? -
What did we use for budget for yield estimates? Are we targeting income? - Does it change the current plan? With market sell off does it makes sense to shorten purchases or are we comfortable with duration and outperforming yield? - AFS vs. HTM in context of unrealized G/L.
Option/premium risks.
Potential for credit risk.
Discuss @ ALCO.
Cloyd Bank & Trust - Page 35
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